The Impact of Population Ageing and Labor Supply on Economic Growth - Analysis Based on Panel Autoregressive Model

Sun Changing ()
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Sun Changing: Shanghai University,Shanghai, China

HOLISTICA – Journal of Business and Public Administration, 2020, vol. 11, issue 1, 51-58

Abstract: Population Ageing will increase the proportion of the elderly in the population and affect the Labor supply, which will eventually have an effect on the economy. This paper first analyzes the impact of aging on labor supply and economic growth from the theoretical level. Population ageing argues will reduce the supply of labor and hamper economic growth. Then, based on the panel data of 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions in China, this paper uses panel auto-regression Model. An empirical analysis of the interaction between population ageing and labor force is carried out by means of Impulse Response Diagram and variance decomposition. The study adds to evidence that ageing reduces the supply of labor and hence economic growth.

Keywords: Population Ageing; Panel autoregressive model; pulse effect; variance decomposition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vrs:hjobpa:v:11:y:2020:i:1:p:51-58:n:4

DOI: 10.2478/hjbpa-2020-0004

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