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Money Supply, Inflation and Economic Growth: Co-Integration and Causality Analysis

Hicham Ayad ()

Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, 2020, vol. 65, issue 2, 29-45

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between money supply, inflation rate, and economic growth in the context of Algeria, using various econometric procedures as co-integration without and with structural breaks in addition to three different ways of causality test for the period 1970-2018, the results confirm the long-run relationship between the variables with more than three structural breaks, but with the absence of the effects of money supply and inflation rate on economic growth both in short run and long run terms, on the other hand, the causality results confirmed the existence of hidden causalities among the variables running from the cumulative components not from the natural series, and all the results support the Monetarist view of inflation though the absence of any effect of money supply on economic growth.

Keywords: Money supply; Inflation; Co-integration; Hidden causality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 E31 E51 F43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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