EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

The Role of Nonfarm Influences in Ricardian Estimates of Climate Change Impacts on US Agriculture

Ariel Ortiz‐Bobea
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Ariel Ortiz-Bobea

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2020, vol. 102, issue 3, 934-959

Abstract: The Ricardian approach is a popular hedonic method for analyzing climate change impacts on agriculture. The approach typically relies on a cross‐sectional regression of farmland asset prices on fixed climate variables, making it particularly vulnerable to omitted variables. I conduct a long‐spanning Ricardian analysis of farmland prices in the eastern United States (1950–2012) and find a convergence of evidence indicating that large estimates of climate change damages for recent cross‐sections (>1970s), also found in the literature, can be explained by the growing influence of omitted factors extraneous to the agricultural sector. I propose and evaluate a simple strategy to circumvent such nonfarm influences in the form of a Ricardian model based on cash rents (2009–2016), which better reflect agricultural profitability and do not capitalize expected land use changes. The new damage estimates on nonirrigated cropland and pasture rents are more optimistic and cannot be distinguished from zero. However, estimates remain imprecise under extreme climate change scenarios pointing to a cautionary long‐term outlook for United States agriculture. The findings are robust to multiple checks and alternative explanations.

Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aaz047

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:ajagec:v:102:y:2020:i:3:p:934-959

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in American Journal of Agricultural Economics from John Wiley & Sons
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().

 
Page updated 2020-12-30
Handle: RePEc:wly:ajagec:v:102:y:2020:i:3:p:934-959