World agricultural baseline scenarios through 2050

Ronald D. Sands and Shellye A. Suttles

Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 2022, vol. 44, issue 4, 2034-2048

Abstract: The European Green Deal aims to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2050. The effort required to meet greenhouse gas emission targets or other sustainable development goals depends on the difference between baseline levels and policy targets. This paper provides a set of plausible world agricultural baseline scenarios through 2050 with a variety of agricultural indicators: food calories consumed, crop calories produced, average crop yields, and associated greenhouse gas emissions. Growth of agricultural activity varies widely across world regions, from Europe with a relatively stable population to sub‐Saharan Africa with rapidly growing populations and per‐capita incomes.

Date: 2022
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https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13309

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:apecpp:v:44:y:2022:i:4:p:2034-2048

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