RELIGIONS, FERTILITY, AND GROWTH IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

David de la Croix and Clara Delavallade

International Economic Review, 2018, vol. 59, issue 2, 907-946

Abstract: We investigate the extent to which the pronatalism of religions impedes growth via the fertility/education channel. Using Southeast Asian censuses, we show empirically that being Catholic, Buddhist, or Muslim significantly raises fertility, especially for couples with intermediate to high education levels. With these estimates, we identify the parameters of a structural model. Catholicism is strongly pro†child (increasing total spending on children), followed by Buddhism, whereas Islam is more pro†birth (redirecting spending from quality to quantity). Pro†child religions depress growth in its early stages by lowering savings and labor supply. In the later stages of growth, pro†birth religions impede human capital accumulation.

Date: 2018
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https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12291

Related works:
Working Paper: Religions, Fertility, and Growth in South-East Asia (2018)
Working Paper: Religions, Fertility, and Growth in South-East Asia (2016)
Working Paper: Religions, Fertility and Growth in South-East Asia (2015)
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