MAKE YOURSELVES SCARCE: THE EFFECT OF DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE ON THE RELATIVE WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT RATES OF EXPERIENCED WORKERS

Michael J. Böhm and Christian Siegel

International Economic Review, 2021, vol. 62, issue 4, 1537-1568

Abstract: This article studies the impact of demographic change on experienced workers' relative wages and employment rates. We investigate empirical predictions from a framework of supply and demand for experience skill, using variation across U.S. local labor markets (LLMs) over the last decades and instrumenting experience skill supply by the LLMs' age structures a decade earlier. We find that aging substantially reduces experienced workers' relative wages and full‐time employment rates, and also their labor market participation rates. Our results imply that the effect of demographic change on labor markets might be more severe than previously recognized, as it reaches beyond wages.

Date: 2021
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https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12524

Related works:
Working Paper: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers (2021)
Working Paper: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers (2019)
Working Paper: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers (2019)
Working Paper: Make yourselves scarce: The effect of demographic change on the relative wages and employment rates of experienced workers (2019)
Working Paper: Make yourselves scarce: The effect of demographic change on the relative wages and employment rates of experienced workers (2019)
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