Make yourselves scarce: The effect of demographic change on the relative wages and employment rates of experienced workers

Michael J. Böhm and Christian Siegel

No 8, Research Memorandum from Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE)

Abstract: We argue that rising supply of experience not only reduces experienced workers’ relative wages but also their relative labor market participation. From a theoretical model we derive predictions which we quasi-experimentally investigate, using variation across U.S. local labor markets (LLMs) over the last decades and instrumenting experience supply by the LLMs’ age structures a decade earlier. We find that aging substantially reduces experienced workers’ relative wages and employment rates, and also their labor market participation rates. Our results imply that the effect of demographic change on labor markets might be more severe than previously recognized, as it reaches beyond wages.

JEL-codes: J11 J21 J31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-04-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ltv
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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https://cris.maastrichtuniversity.nl/ws/files/33441376/RM19008.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: MAKE YOURSELVES SCARCE: THE EFFECT OF DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE ON THE RELATIVE WAGES AND EMPLOYMENT RATES OF EXPERIENCED WORKERS (2021)
Working Paper: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers (2021)
Working Paper: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers (2019)
Working Paper: Make Yourselves Scarce: The Effect of Demographic Change on the Relative Wages and Employment Rates of Experienced Workers (2019)
Working Paper: Make yourselves scarce: The effect of demographic change on the relative wages and employment rates of experienced workers (2019)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:unm:umagsb:2019008

DOI: 10.26481/umagsb.2019008

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