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Propagation Mechanisms for Government Spending Shocks: A Bayesian Comparison

Anna Kormilitsina and Sarah Zubairy

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2018, vol. 50, issue 7, 1571-1616

Abstract: The inability of a simple real business cycle model to predict a rise in consumption in response to increased government expenditures, observed in many empirical studies, has stimulated the development of alternative theories of government spending shocks. Using the Bayesian approach, we evaluate the quantitative performance of five extant models, and find that neither of the considered transmission mechanisms for government spending helps improve the fit of the baseline model. Moreover, we find that consumption decreases in all estimated models in response to a rise in government spending.

Date: 2018
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12555

Related works:
Working Paper: Propagation Mechanisms for Government Spending Shocks: A Bayesian Comparison (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: Propagation Mechanisms for Government Spending Shocks: A Bayesian Comparison (2015) Downloads
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