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How Does the Stock Market View Bank Regulatory Capital Forbearance Policies?

Van Son Lai and Xiaoxia Ye

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2020, vol. 52, issue 8, 1873-1907

Abstract: During the subprime crisis, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has shown, once again, laxity in resolving and closing insolvent institutions. Ronn and Verma (1986) call the tolerance level below which a bank closure is triggered the regulatory policy parameter. We derive a model in which we make this parameter stochastic and bank specific to infer the stock market view of the regulatory capital forbearance value. For 565 U.S. listed banks during 1990 to 2012, the countercyclical forbearance fraction in capital, most substantial in recessions, could represent 17%, on average, of the market valuation of bank equity and could go as high as 100%.

Date: 2020
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https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12692

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Working Paper: How Does the Stock Market View Bank Regulatory Capital Forbearance Policies? (2019) Downloads
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Journal of Money, Credit and Banking is currently edited by Robert deYoung, Paul Evans, Pok-Sang Lam and Kenneth D. West

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