Dissecting Macroeconomic News

Davide Avino, Andrei Stancu and Chardin Wese Simen

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2021, vol. 53, issue 5, 1047-1077

Abstract: How do macroeconomic events affect the term structure of equity returns? We document that the term structure of equity excess returns is upward sloping on federal fund rate announcement days but not on nonannouncement days. The dividend strips respond significantly to macroeconomic news and the strength of the announcement response declines with the maturity of the dividend asset. Our analysis reveals that nonfarm payrolls surprises have the largest impact on the term structure of dividend strips. The cash flow and discount rate channels both contribute to the response of the dividend asset to macroeconomic news.

Date: 2021
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https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12804

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:1047-1077

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