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Estimating a Behavioral New Keynesian Model with the Zero Lower Bound

Yasuo Hirose, Hirokuni Iiboshi, Mototsugu Shintani and Kozo Ueda

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2024, vol. 56, issue 8, 2185-2197

Abstract: We estimate a New Keynesian model incorporating two notable features: bounded rationality and the zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate. Our Bayesian estimation of a nonlinear model shows that the model with bounded rationality better fits the U.S. data than its rational expectations counterpart, and that both households and firms exhibit a substantial degree of bounded rationality. Moreover, we demonstrate that bounded rationality expands a parameter region in which the model can be estimated and weakens the power of forward guidance.

Date: 2024
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https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.13117

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Working Paper: Estimating a Behavioral New Keynesian Model with the Zero Lower Bound (2022) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:56:y:2024:i:8:p:2185-2197

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