THE IMPACT OF ELECTION RESULTS ON THE MEMBER NUMBERS OF THE LARGE PARTIES IN BAVARIA AND GERMANY

Johannes J. Schneider () and Christian Hirtreiter ()
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Johannes J. Schneider: Department of Physics, Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz, Staudinger Weg 7, 55099 Mainz, Germany
Christian Hirtreiter: Institute of Organic Chemistry, University of Regensburg, Universitätsstr. 31, 93053 Regensburg, Germany

International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), 2005, vol. 16, issue 08, 1165-1215

Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the relations between the numbers of members of various parties and their results in the elections in Bavaria and in Germany. Deriving from the finding that there is a strong time-delayed correlation between these data-sets for the two largest parties in Bavaria, we show in a simulation based on the Sznajd model that such a correlation leads to very stable majorities, just as in Bavaria.

Keywords: Sociophysics; time series analysis; Sznajd model; election results; party membership; trend analysis; correlation; 89.65.Ef; 05.45.Tp (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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DOI: 10.1142/S0129183105007820

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