OPINION DYNAMICS AND DECISION OF VOTE IN BIPOLAR POLITICAL SYSTEMS

Filippo Caruso () and Paolo Castorina ()
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Filippo Caruso: Scuola Superiore di Catania, Via S. Paolo 73, 95123 Catania, Italy
Paolo Castorina: Department of Physics, University of Catania and INFN, Sezione di Catania, Via S. Sofia 64, I-95123, Catania, Italy

International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), 2005, vol. 16, issue 09, 1473-1487

Abstract: A model of the opinion dynamics underlying the political decision is proposed. The analysis is restricted to a bipolar scheme with a possible third political area. The interaction among voters is local but the final decision strongly depends on global effects such as the rating of the governments. As in the realistic case, the individual decision making process is determined by the most relevant personal interests and problems. The phenomenological analysis of the national vote in Italy and Germany has been carried out and a prediction of the next Italian vote as a function of the government rating is presented.

Keywords: Disordered systems; opinion dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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DOI: 10.1142/S0129183105008059

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