MICROSCOPIC MODELING THE DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES

Katarzyna Bońkowska, Szymon Szymczak and Stanisław Cebrat
Additional contact information
Katarzyna Bońkowska: Department of Genomics, Institute of Genetics and Microbiology, Wrocław University, ul. Przybyszewskiego 63/77, 51-148 Wroclaw, Poland
Szymon Szymczak: Department of Genomics, Institute of Genetics and Microbiology, Wrocław University, ul. Przybyszewskiego 63/77, 51-148 Wroclaw, Poland
Stanisław Cebrat: Department of Genomics, Institute of Genetics and Microbiology, Wrocław University, ul. Przybyszewskiego 63/77, 51-148 Wroclaw, Poland

International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), 2006, vol. 17, issue 10, 1477-1484

Abstract: We have adapted the Penna ageing model to simulate the profound changes in the age structures of populations caused by the better life style, medical care and decrease in birth rate. In Poland, after the political transformations in the last decade of the twentieth century, the increase in the expected lifespan has been accompanied by very deep decrease in birthrate, much below the minimum necessary for keeping the constant size of the population. Our microscopic model describes the changes in the age structure which have already happened and predicts the future, assuming that our attitudes in respect to life style and social relations will not change.

Keywords: Ageing; mutation accumulation; demography (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0129183106009539
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wsi:ijmpcx:v:17:y:2006:i:10:n:s0129183106009539

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from

DOI: 10.1142/S0129183106009539

Access Statistics for this article

International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC) is currently edited by H. J. Herrmann

More articles in International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC) from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tai Tone Lim ().