CORRELATIONS BETWEEN POLITICAL PARTY SIZE AND VOTER MEMORY: A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF OPINION POLLS

Christian A. Andresen (), Henning F. Hansen (), Alex Hansen (), Giovani L. Vasconcelos () and José S. Andrade ()
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Christian A. Andresen: Department of Physics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway
Henning F. Hansen: Department of Physics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway
Alex Hansen: Department of Physics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, N-7491 Trondheim, Norway
Giovani L. Vasconcelos: Laboratório de Física Teórica e Computacional, Departamento de Física, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, 50670-901 Recife, Brazil
José S. Andrade: Departamento de Física, Universidade Federal do Ceará, 60451-970 Fortaleza, Ceará, Brazil

International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), 2008, vol. 19, issue 11, 1647-1657

Abstract: This paper describes the application of statistical methods to political polling data in order to look for correlations and memory effects. We propose measures for quantifying the political memory using the correlation function and scaling analysis. These methods reveal time correlations and self-affine scaling properties, respectively, and they have been applied to polling data from Norway. Power-law dependencies have been found between correlation measures and party size, and different scaling behaviors have been found for large and small parties.

Keywords: Social systems; memory; scaling; correlation; polling data; 89.65.-s; 05.45.Tp; 01.75.+m (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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DOI: 10.1142/S0129183108013187

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