Northeast Pacific annual accumulated cyclonic energy rank-profile

Elio Roca-Flores and Gerardo G. Naumis ()
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Elio Roca-Flores: Doctorado en Ciencias de la Ingeniería, Instituto Tecnológico de Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes, Aguascalientes 20256, Mexico
Gerardo G. Naumis: Depto. de Sistemas Complejos, Instituto de Física, Apdo. Postal 20-364, UNAM, CDMX 04510, Mexico

International Journal of Modern Physics C (IJMPC), 2021, vol. 32, issue 06, 1-11

Abstract: The ranking of events is a powerful way to study the complexity of rare catastrophic events as earthquakes and hurricanes. Hurricane activity can be quantified by the annual accumulated cyclone energy index (ACE), which contains the information of the maximum sustained wind speed, duration and frequency of the tropical cyclone season. Here, the ranking of the Northeast Pacific annual ACE is obtained and fitted using nonlinear regression with several two- and three-parameter ranking laws that fit the tail and head of the data, where lives the information of relevant events for human society. The logarithmic like function k−alog(n)+blog(N+1−n) overperforms all other fits. A sliding window analysis of the parameters a and b of such a function shows that forcing and dissipation processes are anticorrelated.

Keywords: Accumulated cyclonic energy; tropical cyclone; Northeast Pacific; ranking; discrete generalized beta distribution; sliding window (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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DOI: 10.1142/S0129183121500832

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