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Unraveling the unsustainability spiral in sub-Saharan Africa: an agent based modelling approach

Guido van Hofwegen (), Gertjan A. Becx, Joep A. van den Broek and Niek B.J. Koning
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Guido van Hofwegen: Wageningen International, Wageningen University
Gertjan A. Becx: Wageningen International, Wageningen University
Joep A. van den Broek: Wageningen International, Wageningen University
Niek B.J. Koning: Wageningen International, Wageningen University

Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, 2007, vol. 5, issue 2, 112-137

Abstract: Sub-Saharan Africa is trapped in a complex unsustainability spiral with demographic, biophysical, technical and socio-political dimensions. Unravelling the spiral is vital to perceive which policy actions are needed to reverse it and initiate sustainable pro-poor growth. The article presents an evolutionary, multi-agent modelling framework that marries a socio-ecological approach to a world system perspective and takes agriculture as the engine for sustainable development in Sub-Saharan Africa. A number of possibilities for empirical validation are proposed.

Keywords: multi-agent systems; development; poverty trap; degradation; social capital; sub-Saharan Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 O33 O55 Q20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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