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Econometric modeling of managerial decisions at the macro and micro levels

Oksana Chernega, Uyrii Yakovenko, Anastasia Chepurnova, Oleksandra Makieieva, Olena Nieizviestna, Natalia Ivanova, Viktorija Koverza, Volodymyr Kotkovskyi, Yevhenii Tryhubchenko, Tetiana Kozhukhova (), Yuliia Bocharova, Lyubov Shevchenko, Valentina Barabanova, Valery Yankovsky, Yuliia Lyzhnyk, Yuliia Vorobiova, Viktoriia Koshel, Ganna Gorina, Galina Bohatyryova, Olha Nikolaichuk, Svitlana Revutska, Nataliia Pryimak, Radion Nykyforov, Oleksandr Romanykha, Kateryna Khavrova, Nataly Lokhman, Maria Kolchuk, Alexander Kravtsov and Eugene Klevtsov
Additional contact information
Oksana Chernega: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Uyrii Yakovenko: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Anastasia Chepurnova: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Oleksandra Makieieva: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Olena Nieizviestna: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Natalia Ivanova: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Viktorija Koverza: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Volodymyr Kotkovskyi: National University "Odessa Law Academy"
Yevhenii Tryhubchenko: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Tetiana Kozhukhova: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Yuliia Bocharova: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Lyubov Shevchenko: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Valentina Barabanova: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Valery Yankovsky: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Yuliia Lyzhnyk: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Yuliia Vorobiova: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Viktoriia Koshel: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Ganna Gorina: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Galina Bohatyryova: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Olha Nikolaichuk: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Svitlana Revutska: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Nataliia Pryimak: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Radion Nykyforov: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Oleksandr Romanykha: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Kateryna Khavrova: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Nataly Lokhman: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Maria Kolchuk: PricewaterhouseCoopers GmbH Wirtschaftsprüfungsgesellschaft (PwC Germany)
Alexander Kravtsov: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
Eugene Klevtsov: Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade

in Monographs from PC TECHNOLOGY CENTER

Abstract: The theoretical and practical aspects of the application of the econometric approach to making managerial decisions in a crisis at the micro and macro levels are highlighted. Theoretical aspects determine the basic categories of the research problem: managerial decision, stages of managerial decision-making to determine the feasibility of using econometric methods, crisis and crisis phenomena, econometric approach. The specifics of making managerial decisions in a crisis at the micro and macro levels have been determined; the characteristic features, areas of problem solving and methods for solving managerial problems are considered, depending on the level of their formalization. Practical aspects highlight the rationale for the use of econometric methods at the stage of problem identification: identification of crisis phenomena in the relevant areas; a quantitative analysis of the crisis made it possible to identify and determine the imbalances. The advantages and disadvantages of the econometric approach to managerial decision-making are determined; general econometric methods of substantiating managerial decisions and their consequences are described. The features and advantages of Data-driven decision-making over Highest Paid Person's Opinion are determined; the types of information and analytical support of managerial decisions and the methods used for its formation are determined. The author's understanding of the concepts "econometric approach to managerial decision making", "information and analytical support of managerial decisions" is proposed. Practical aspects highlight the feasibility of using econometric methods and at the stage of justifying managerial decisions – the use of econometric methods in accordance with the scope of application, taking into account its specificity and state: a matrix "economic security – standard of living – innovative development" has been developed to justify the decision on the application of strategies to ensure economic security through changes in the level of innovative development and the standard of living of the population of the region (transformation strategy, innovative development strategy, human development strategy and growth strategy) on the basis of correlation-regression analysis, calculation of partial elasticity coefficients, a potentially most effective variant of reconfiguring the functional components of the innovation infrastructure was established; a model of authentic management of the development of the Ukrainian tourist services market has been developed, which assumes the use of specific mechanisms of authentic management and accounting for the authenticity of the cultural and historical resources of local tourism markets, the asymmetry of infrastructural and socio-economic development of markets, the spatial polarization of the location of climatic and recreational factors of local tourist markets; based on the results of the taxonomic analysis of the state of the hotel and restaurant industry, managerial solutions were proposed for the implementation of the strategy for the development of the hotel and restaurant industry for the coming period, including activities at the national level and at the level of individual business entities; an algorithm for making optimal decisions based on the development of the innovative potential of personnel has been developed: defining the problems of enterprise development; search for the reasons for the retardation of the development of the enterprise; determination of the reasons for the retardation of the development of the enterprise; determination of optimal solutions depending on the formulated problem; development of recommendations for achieving strategic goals, based on the construction of a "tree of opportunities"; a cognitive map (graph) of the process of making strategic decisions in the sphere of making strategic changes at mining and processing enterprises was built taking into account the influence of the following concepts: goals of strategic changes; the goals of the enterprise strategy implementation; the duration of the change lag; the level of encouragement of the team of changes; threshold opportunities for strategic change; unique opportunities for strategic change; average opportunities for strategic change; sufficiency of the potential for strategic changes; resistance to change; fiduciary corporate culture.

Keywords: Managerial decision; managerial decision making model; managerial decision making mechanism; crisis; macroeconomic imbalances; problem; econometric approach; data-driven decision-making; Highest Paid Person's Opinion; data-driven decision making capability; information and analytical support of managerial decisions; regression model; econometrics; canonical analysis; taxonomic analysis; cluster analysis; principal component method; «tree of opportunities»; migration policy; economic security; innovative development; living standards of the population; innovation infrastructure; development management; local development strategies; regional tourism markets services; tourism; hotel and restaurant industry; personnel innovation poten-tial; strategic management; cognitive model; strategic process concept; strategic decision; strategic change; SWOT analysis; Potential square; competitiveness; efficiency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
ISBN: 978-617-7319-37-4
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http://monograph.com.ua/pctc/catalog/view/978-617- ... -617-7319-37-4/263-3 (application/pdf)

Chapters in this book:

Introduction , pp 1-2 Downloads
Natalia Ivanova and Tetiana Kozhukhova
Features of making managerial decisions in a crisis at the micro and macro levels , pp 3-21 Downloads
Oksana Chernega, Uyrii Yakovenko, Anastasia Chepurnova and Oleksandra Makieieva
Quantitative crisis analysis: identifying and defining imbalances , pp 22-43 Downloads
Olena Nieizviestna, Natalia Ivanova, Viktoriia Koverza, Volodymyr Kotkovskyi and Yevhenii Tryhubchenko
Identification of managerial problem , pp 44-55 Downloads
Tetiana Kozhukhova, Yuliia Bocharova, Lyubov Shevchenko and Olena Nieizviestna
Econometric approach to justification of managerial decisions , pp 56-82 Downloads
Natalia Ivanova, Tetiana Kozhukhova, Valentina Barabanova and Valery Yankovsky
Information and analytical support for the development of a strategy for the development of the innovative infrastructure of Ukraine , pp 83-105 Downloads
Yuliia Bocharova, Yuliia Lyzhnyk, Yuliia Vorobiova and Viktoriia Koshel
The use of cluster analysis tools in substantiating managerial decisions for the formation of local strategies for the development of tourism services markets , pp 106-131 Downloads
Ganna Gorina, Galina Bohatyryova, Olha Nikolaichuk and Svitlana Revutska
Taxonomic analysis of strategic decisions for the development of the hotel and restaurant industry , pp 132-150 Downloads
Olha Nikolaichuk, Nataliia Pryimak, Radion Nykyforov and Oleksandr Romanykha
Making optimal decisions based on the development of the innovative potential of personnel , pp 151-164 Downloads
Kateryna Khavrova, Oksana Chernega, Nataly Lokhman and Maria Kolchuk
Making optimal strategic decisions in conditions of weakly structured systems using cognitive modeling techniques , pp 165-181 Downloads
Nataliia Pryimak, Kateryna Khavrova, Alexander Kravtsov and Eugene Klevtsov
Conclusions , pp 182-185 Downloads
Natalia Ivanova and Tetiana Kozhukhova

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:baq:pcbook:978-617-7319-37-4.redif

DOI: 10.15587/978-617-7319-37-4

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