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Energy Outlook and Energy Saving Potential in East Asia 2016

Shigeru Kimura and Han Phoumin

in Books from Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA)

Abstract: Sustained economic growth and increasing population in the East Asia Summit (EAS) region are the two major drivers responsible for the rise of doubling energy demand in 2013-2040. The increase of energy demand threatens energy security and the effort to curb carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. These common energy challenges will need to be addressed through concerted efforts, including collective measures and actions to rapidly develop and deploy energy efficiency and saving, high-efficient and low-emission coal-fired power plant technology, and nuclear safety, and to double the share of renewable energy to the overall energy mix for inclusive and sustainable development. The energy outlook and energy saving potential present the balance of energy best-mix based on each country's policy and targets, and predict the pattern of future energy consumption. In this regard, the Business-as-Usual (BAU) scenario was developed for each EAS economy, outlining future sectoral and economy-wide energy consumption assuming no significant changes in government policies. An Alternative Policy Scenario (APS) was set to examine the potential impact of additional energy efficiency goals, action plans, or policies that are being, or likely to be, considered. The difference between the BAU and the APS scenarios in both final and primary energy supply represents potential energy savings. The difference in CO2 emissions between the two scenarios represents the potential for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The findings of this study would continue to set light towards policy implications for decision-making to ensure that the region could enjoy both economic growth and investment opportunities without compromising energy security and environmental problems resulting from rising CO2 emissions.

Date: 2016
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Chapters in this book:

Ch 1 Main Report Downloads
Phoumin Han, Shigeru Kimura and Cecilya Laksmiwati Malik
Ch 2 Australia Country Report Downloads
Arif Syed
Ch 3 Brunei Darussalam Country Report Downloads
Energy and Industry Department, Prime Minister's Office, Brunei Darussalam
Ch 4 Cambodia Country Report Downloads
Chiphong Sarasy
Ch 5 China Country Report Downloads
Yu Hao and Rong Han
Ch 6 India Country Report Downloads
Lu Zheng
Ch 7 Indonesia Country Report Downloads
Cecilya Laksmiwati Malik
Ch 8 Japan Country Report Downloads
Miyuki Tsunoda
Ch 9 Republic of Korea Country Report Downloads
Kyung-Jin Boo
Ch 10 Lao PDR Country Report Downloads
Khamso Kouphokam
Ch 11 Malaysia Country Report Downloads
Zaharin Zulkifli
Ch 12 Myanmar Country Report Downloads
Tin Zaw Myint
Ch 13 New Zealand Country Report Downloads
Miyuki Tsunoda
Ch 14 Philippines Country Report Downloads
Danilo V. Vivar
Ch 15 Singapore Country Report Downloads
Loi Tian Sheng Allan and Jacqueline Yujia Tao
Ch 16 Thailand Country Report Downloads
Supit Padprem
Ch 17 Viet Nam Country Report Downloads
Nguyen Minh Bao

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