Making Essential Choices with Scant Information

Edited by Terry M. Williams, Knut Samset and Kjell J. Sunnevåg

in Palgrave Macmillan Books from Palgrave Macmillan

Date: 2009
ISBN: 978-0-230-23683-7
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Chapters in this book:

Ch 1 Decisions Made on Scant Information: Overview

Terry Williams

Ch 2 Projects, Their Quality at Entry and Challenges in the Front-end Phase

Knut Samset

Ch 3 Implementing Strategy Through Project Management: The Importance of Managing the Project Front-end

Peter W. G. Morris

Ch 4 Scenarios Planning

Kees Heijden

Ch 5 Up-Front Assessment of Needs

Petter Næss

Ch 6 Front-end Alignment of Projects — Doing the Right Project

Terry Cooke-Davies

Ch 7 Using Soft Systems Methodology to Structure Project Definition

Mark Winter

Ch 8 Optimism and Misrepresentation in Early Project Development

Bent Flyvbjerg

Ch 9 Decision Behaviour- Improving Expert Judgement

Geir Kirkebøen

Ch 10 Useful Heuristics

Benjamin Scheibehenne and Bettina Helversen

Ch 11 Expert Judgement of Probability and Risk

George Wright, Fergus Bolger and Gene Rowe

Ch 12 Evaluation of Risks in Complex Problems

Gregory S. Parnell

Ch 13 Obtaining Distributions from Groups for Decisions Under Uncertainty

Roger Cooke

Ch 14 Exploratory Quantitative Analysis of Emergent Problems with Scant Information

Tim Bedford

Ch 15 Analyzing Information. Techniques and Analyses

Bjørn Andersen

Ch 16 Parametric Analysis

Philip Pugh

Ch 17 The Impact of New Information

Kjell J. Sunnevåg

Ch 18 The Complexity of Decision-Making in Large Projects with Multiple Partners: Be Prepared to Change

Roger Miller and Brian Hobbs

Ch 19 Project Profitability from Society’s Point of View

Kåre P. Hagen

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DOI: 10.1057/9780230236837

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