Generative-AI Pilot for Problem Spaces: Can ChatGPT Help Develop Scenarios?

Bruce Garvey and Adam D. M. Svendsen
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Bruce Garvey: Strategy Foresight Limited
Adam D. M. Svendsen: Norwegian Defence University College (NDUC/FHS)

Chapter Chapter 8 in Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence, 2024, pp 121-137 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract Building on our findings presented in our previous chapters, the purpose of the chapters in PART III, starting with this chapter, Chap. 8, is to investigate the development of Problem Spaces via a Generative-Artificial Intelligence (AI) ‘Pilot’ study. The main research question posed, here, is: ‘Can ChatGPT help develop Scenarios, such as through helping generate the Problem Spaces?’ The problématique is subsequently broken down into a series of different deep-dive sections, thereby yielding further insights into the research work undertaken. Before delving into the main content of this chapter, some background relating to scenarios and Problem Spaces is first presented to help orientate readers as to the AI-focused discussion that follows. Many of the Generative-AI technologies referenced, such as notably ChatGPT, are very new and therefore continue to be subject to much rapid development and other associated changes (See, for example, as discussed in Loukides (2023)). In such circumstances, usual caveats apply as to much being in a condition of substantial flux and several of the insights presented can be expected to morph in their detail over time.

Keywords: Generative-AI (Gen-AI); ChatGPT; Strategic Options Analysis (SOA); Pair-wise Analysis (PWA); Artificial Intelligence (AI); Scenarios (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-66115-0_8

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