Measurement, Monitoring, and Forecasting Economic Cycles: BRICS Lessons

Sergey Smirnov, Ataman Ozyildirim and George Kershoff
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George Kershoff: Stellenbosch University

A chapter in Business Cycles in BRICS, 2019, pp 499-513 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract The current best practices in measuring, monitoring, and forecasting economic cycles are drawn from the experience of mature economies such as the USA, Japan, and several Western European countries. Meanwhile, there are a lot of peculiarities in emerging economies that should be kept in mind when developing a system for tracking and forecasting their short-run dynamics. In the literature, there have been numerous attempts to apply the international best practices to emerging economies, but these attempts have usually been sporadic. The experience of the BRICS economies accumulated in this book allows for a fresh look on the problem of the development and use of cyclical indicators and is potentially useful for other emerging countries.

Keywords: Cyclical Indicators; BRIC Economies; Business Tendency Surveys (BTS); BRIC Countries; Growth Rate Cycle (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:socchp:978-3-319-90017-9_29

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-90017-9_29

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