Details about Sergey V. Smirnov

Access statistics for papers by Sergey V. Smirnov.

Last updated 2025-02-08. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: psm166

Working Papers

2017

1. Dating Cyclical Turning Points for Russia: Formal Methods and Informal Choices
   Post-Print, HAL View citations (3)
   Also in HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics (2016) View citations (2)
2. Indices of Regional Economic Activity for Russia
   HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics View citations (1)
   See also Chapter Indices of Regional Economic Activity for Russia, Societies and Political Orders in Transition, Springer (2019) (2019)

2016

3. Wishful Bias in Predicting Us Recessions: Indirect Evidence
   HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics View citations (1)

2014

4. Predicting US Recessions: Does a Wishful Bias Exist?
   HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics

2012

5. Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys during the Great Recession
   KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich

2011

6. Those Unpredictable Recessions
   HSE Working papers, National Research University Higher School of Economics View citations (1)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Macroeconomic forecasting and macroeconomic forecasts
   Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2024, (2)

2023

2. Forecasting turning points of the Russian economic cycle with leading indicators
   Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2023, (10)

2022

3. Inflation challenges of the pandemic period and sanctions. Lessons for the future
   Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2022, (5) View citations (1)
4. Monitoring Russian business cycle with daily indicators
   Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2022, (5) View citations (1)

2021

5. Macroeconomic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic
   Journal of the New Economic Association, 2021, 52, (4), 239-246

2015

6. Economic Fluctuations in Russia (from the late 1920s to 2015)
   Russian Journal of Economics, 2015, 1, (2), 130-153 View citations (10)

2014

7. Russian cyclical indicators and their usefulness in real time. (Report): An experience of the 2008-09 recession
   OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2014, 2014, (1), 1-26 View citations (3)

2013

8. Industrial Output in the USSR and Russia, 1861—2012. Part I. Reconstruction of Basic Time-series
   Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2013, (6)

2011

9. The Other Countries’ Experience: Something To Learn
   Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2011, 2, 18 pages
   Also in Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, 2011, 1, 23 pages (2011)

2010

10. Exchange Rate Regimes and Economic Stability
    Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2010, (1)
11. Factors of Cyclical Vulnerability of Russian Economy
    Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2010, (6)
12. Ruble Exchange Rate and the Structure of Russian Economy
    Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2010, (1)

2009

13. Russian Economy against a Background of Global Crisis: Current Trends and Prospects of Development
    Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2009, (9)

2002

14. Russia's Economic Growth: Ambitions and Actual Prospects
    Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2002, 8

2001

15. The System of Leading Indicators for Russia
    Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2001, 3 View citations (5)

Edited books

2019

1. Business Cycles in BRICS
   Societies and Political Orders in Transition, Springer View citations (2)

Chapters

2019

1. A Survey of Composite Leading Indices for Russia
   Springer
2. BRICS in the Global Economy
   Springer
3. Economic Fluctuations and Their Drivers in Russia
   Springer
4. Indices of Regional Economic Activity for Russia
   Springer
   See also Working Paper Indices of Regional Economic Activity for Russia, National Research University Higher School of Economics (2017) View citations (1) (2017)
5. Introduction
   Springer View citations (1)
6. Measurement, Monitoring, and Forecasting Economic Cycles: BRICS Lessons
   Springer