The Need for Behavioral Theory in Evacuation Modeling

Erica D. Kuligowski () and Steve M. V. Gwynne ()
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Erica D. Kuligowski: National Institute of Standards and Technology
Steve M. V. Gwynne: Hughes Associates, Inc.

A chapter in Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2008, 2010, pp 721-732 from Springer

Abstract: Summary This paper posits the need for a complete, comprehensive conceptual model about human behavior in fire evacuations. This would be of intrinsic value to improve training, education, and future data collection efforts, but would also allow for a complete behavioral representation to be embedded within simulation tools. This paper begins by discussing the current, separate theories or “behavioral facts” extracted from research on evacuations from building fires. Then, the paper discusses the methods used by current computer evacuation models to simulate these “behavioral facts” and the limitations of these methods. Last, the paper argues for the inclusion of a comprehensive behavioral conceptual model in computer evacuation models, specifically by highlighting the benefits of behavioral theory for evacuation models and providing examples of social theories used to predict whether people will evacuate from disasters in communities.

Keywords: Behavioral Fact; Fire Safety; Route Choice; Behavioral Theory; Evacuation Model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-3-642-04504-2_70

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-04504-2_70

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