Uncertainty Analysis in Reliability/Safety Assessment

Ajit Kumar Verma (), Srividya Ajit () and Durga Rao Karanki ()
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Ajit Kumar Verma: Stord/Haugesund University College
Srividya Ajit: Stord/Haugesund University College
Durga Rao Karanki: Paul Scherrer Institute

Chapter Chapter 13 in Reliability and Safety Engineering, 2016, pp 457-491 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract This chapter presents the basics of uncertainty analysis in reliability or risk assessment. Although probabilistic representation of uncertainty is very popular, alternate methods of representing uncertainties are also presented, which are useful when limited information is available. Different methods of uncertainty propagation are discussed, which include analytical methods, Monte Carlo simulation, interval and fuzzy arithmetic based approaches. Two methods to build input parameter distributions are also explained in detail viz., Bayesian and expert elicitation techniques.

Keywords: Membership Function; Probability Distribution Function; Fuzzy Number; Uncertainty Propagation; Joint Moment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssrchp:978-1-4471-6269-8_13

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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4471-6269-8_13

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