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Failure Probability Estimation of Long Pipeline

Liyang Xie, Zheng Wang, Guangbo Hao and Mingchuan Zhang
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Liyang Xie: Northeastern University
Zheng Wang: Northeastern University
Guangbo Hao: Northeastern University
Mingchuan Zhang: Northeastern University

Chapter 11 in Recent Advances in Reliability and Quality in Design, 2008, pp 239-251 from Springer

Abstract: Abstract It is well known that, for the majority of pressurized pipelines, both the load and the resistance parameters show evident uncertainty, and a probabilistic approach should be applied to assess their behaviors. Concerning reliability estimation of passive components such as pressure vessel and pipeline, there are two kinds of approaches – direct estimation using statistics of historical failure event data, and indirect estimation using probabilistic analysis of the failure phenomena of consideration. The direct estimation method can be validated relatively easily. However, it suffers statistical uncertainty due to scarce data. Indirect estimation method relies on the statistics of material property and those of environment load which are more readily available. As to systems composed of passive components, statistical dependence among component failures is a complex issue that cannot be ignored in reliability estimation.

Keywords: Failure Probability; Series System; Component Failure; Probabilistic Risk Assessment; Failure Dependence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:ssrchp:978-1-84800-113-8_11

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DOI: 10.1007/978-1-84800-113-8_11

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