Agricultural TFP Under a Changing Climate: Evidence from High, Middle, and Low-Income Countries

Sevil Acar and Simay Kizilkaya

Chapter 7 in Climate and Development, 2021, pp 177-218 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: Climate change impacts are already visible in agriculture. In most parts of the world, exposure to climate extremes in the form of droughts, floods, heat spells, or storms has increased. This chapter aims to contribute to the literature by addressing climate change using a novel dataset for extreme weather events that include climate-related disasters and shocks such as floods, landslides, and wildfires as well as by examining temperature nonlinearities, and analyzes their impacts on agricultural TFP across country samples of varying income groups. The analysis is conducted for a total of 137 countries during the 1995–2015 period. The impacts of both climate change indicators are estimated to be negative only in the case of low- and middle-income countries. The relationship is proven to be robust to alternative specifications.

Keywords: Climate Change; Global Warming; Sustainable Development; Development; Economic Growth; Adaptation; Paris Agreement; Social Conflict; Extreme Events; Integrated Assessment Model; Climate-Economic Liveability; Sustainable Development Goals; Social Welfare Functions; Intergenerational Transfers; Water Scarcity; Natural Resources; Migration; Climate-Migration Relationship; MENA Region; Renewable Energy; ICT; Energy Efficiency; Carbon Dioxide Removal; Net Negative Emissions; Co-Benefits; Afforestation; Reforestation; Mangroves; Developing Countries; Blue Carbon Projects; Ecosystems; Blockchain Technology; Illegal Logging; Mining Industries; Power Plants; Environmental Economics; Resource Economics; Climate Change Economics; Climate Policy; Mitigation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q5 Q54 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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