Elo Team Strength Ratings: Two Versions
William T. Ziemba and
Leonard C. MacLean
Chapter 5 in Dr Z's NFL Guidebook, 2018, pp 73-82 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Abstract:
The following sections are included:The Swetye Elo Method: which team will win a given football game?The Swetye Elo Power Ratings for NFL teamsThe 538 Elo Power Ratings for NFL teamsAn example was the 2008 Super BowlAn educated guess that paid offElo ratings and the probability of winningEvaluating the Elo Ratings
Keywords: NFL Players; Coaches; Strategies; Mean Reversion; Efficient Markets; Sports Enthusiasts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L83 Z21 Z23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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