Dr Z's NFL Guidebook

William T Ziemba and Leonard C MacLean
Additional contact information
William T Ziemba: University of British Columbia, Canada
Leonard C MacLean: Dalhousie University, Canada

in World Scientific Books from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: This guidebook presents historical and new material to assist the reader to understand NFL game strategies and provides a winning betting strategy. The authors, William Ziemba and Leonard MacLean are professors, traders, financial analysts and sports enthusiasts. They covered ideas like the game's strategies, and shared their wealth of personal experience analyzing the regular season, the playoffs and the Super Bowls in the years 2010–2017. The results of their actual betting for the 2009–10 to the 2017–18 seasons are provided. The authors concluded the book with a forecast for the 2018–2019 season. They determine the players most valuable to win the games, discuss crucial decisions and provide prediction methodology. The authors concluded with a forecast of the top teams, players and odds to win the 53rd Super Bowl.

Keywords: NFL Players; Coaches; Strategies; Mean Reversion; Efficient Markets; Sports Enthusiasts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L83 Z21 Z23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
ISBN: 9789813276420
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Downloads: (external link)
https://www.worldscientific.com/worldscibooks/10.1142/11160 (text/html)
Ebook Access is available upon purchase

Chapters in this book:

Ch 1 Why NFL football is interesting & the plan for this book , pp 1-5

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 2 The basics of NFL games, strategies and wagering , pp 7-27

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 3 Team Composition — Are the Best Players on the Best Teams? , pp 29-51

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 4 Misconceptions of the media and the value of proper analysis , pp 53-71

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 5 Elo Team Strength Ratings: Two Versions , pp 73-82

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 6 Analytical Tools: Arbitrage, mean reversion, risk arbitrage and the favorite-longshot bias , pp 83-88

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 7 How the Playoffs are organized and the 2009-2010 Playoffs and Super Bowl , pp 89-94

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 8 The 2010-2011 Playoffs and the Super Bowl , pp 95-98

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 9 The 2011-2012 Playoffs and the Super Bowl , pp 99-127

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 10 The 2012-2013 Playoffs and the Super Bowl , pp 129-147

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 11 The 2013-2014 Playoffs and the Super Bowl , pp 149-171

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 12 The 2014-2015 Season, Playoffs and the Super Bowl , pp 173-210

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 13 The 2015-2016 Season, Playoffs and the Super Bowl , pp 211-224

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 14 The 2016-2017 Season, Playoffs and the Super Bowl , pp 225-249

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 15 Analysis, predictions, results and betting 2017-2018 , pp 251-283

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 16 The 2017-2018 Playoffs and the Super Bowl , pp 285-298

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 17 ELO Team Strength Ratings: Predicting Win Probabilities and Point Spreads in NFL Games in 2017-2018 , pp 299-314

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Ch 18 Changes for the 2018-2019 Season , pp 315-343

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

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