ELO Team Strength Ratings: Predicting Win Probabilities and Point Spreads in NFL Games in 2017-2018

William T. Ziemba and Leonard C. MacLean

Chapter 17 in Dr Z's NFL Guidebook, 2018, pp 299-314 from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

Abstract: The following sections are included:Win Probability in GamesCompetitor Ratings — the ELO systemFiveThirtyEight ELO NFL RatingsPoint SpreadTesting the ELO Each WeekConclusion

Keywords: NFL Players; Coaches; Strategies; Mean Reversion; Efficient Markets; Sports Enthusiasts (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L83 Z21 Z23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/pdf/10.1142/9789813276505_0017 (application/pdf)
https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/9789813276505_0017 (text/html)
Ebook Access is available upon purchase.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789813276505_0017

Ordering information: This item can be ordered from

Access Statistics for this chapter

More chapters in World Scientific Book Chapters from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tai Tone Lim ().