Agricultural and Economywide Effects of the War in Ukraine

Amanda M. Countryman, Valentyn Litvinov, Ivan Kolodiazhnyi, Mariia Bogonos and Oleg Nivievskyi ()

No 344185, Commissioned Papers from International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium

Abstract: The war in Ukraine caused export disruptions that jeopardize the availability and affordability of agricultural and food products around the world. This research employs a computable general equilibrium modeling framework to understand the global economic effects of warinduced agricultural export declines under varying success of alternate transport from Ukraine given inability to export through the Black Sea. Results show net global welfare effects ranging from more than $5 billion to nearly $20 billion depending on the success of transport through European Solidarity Lanes.

Keywords: Agribusiness; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; International Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 52
Date: 2024-06-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr, nep-cis and nep-int
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:iatrcp:344185

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.344185

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