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Poverty program participation and employment in timber-dependent counties

Peter Berck, Christopher Costello, Sandra Hoffmann and Louise Fortmann

No 43913, CUDARE Working Papers from University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics

Abstract: This paper uses cointegrated time-series methods to evaluate the effect of timber employment on participation in a major poverty program-Aid to Families with Dependent Children-Unemployed Parent (AFDC-UP). The study is conducted for major timber-producing counties in California. It is shown that a two-sector structural model can be solved to produce an error-correction model. An error-correction model is estimated with time series on state and county AFDC-UP caseload, state employment, county nontimber employment, and county timber employment. Utilizing tests on the cointegrating space, it is shown that there is no long-run relationship between poverty and timber employment in 10 of the 11 counties studied.

Keywords: Food Security and Poverty; Resource/Energy Economics and Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 39
Date: 1999-10
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https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/43913/files/CUDARE%20898%20Berck.pdf (application/pdf)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:ucbecw:43913

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.43913

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