The environmental impact of civil conflict: The deforestation effect of paramilitary expansion in Colombia

Leopoldo Fergusson, Dario Romero and Juan Vargas

No 209328, Documentos CEDE Series from Universidad de Los Andes, Economics Department

Abstract: Despite a growing body of literature on how environmental degradation can fuel civil war, the reverse effect, namely that of conflict on environmental outcomes, is relatively understudied. From a theoretical point of view this effect is ambiguous, with some forces pointing to pressures for environmental degradation and some pointing in the opposite direction. Hence, the overall effect of conflict on the environment is an empirical question. We study this relationship in the case of Colombia. We combine a detailed satellite-based longitudinal dataset on forest cover across municipalities over the period 1990-2010 with a comprehensive panel of conflict-related violent actions by paramilitary militias. We first provide evidence that paramilitary activity significantly reduces the share of forest cover in a panel specification that includes municipal and time fixed effects. Then we confirm these findings by taking advantage of a quasi-experiment that provides us with an exogenous source of variation for the expansion of the paramilitary. Using the distance to the region of Urabá, the epicenter of such expansion, we instrument paramilitary activity in each cross-section for which data on forest cover is available. As a falsification exercise, we show that the instrument ceases to be relevant after the paramilitaries largely demobilized following peace negotiations with the government. Further, after the demobilization the deforestation effect of the paramilitaries disappears. We explore a number of potential mechanisms that may explain the conflict-driven deforestation, and show evidence suggesting that paramilitary violence generates large outflows of people in order to secure areas for growing illegal crops, exploit mineral resources, and engage in extensive agriculture. In turn, these activities are associated with deforestation.

Keywords: Labor and Human Capital; Production Economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 43
Date: 2014-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-env
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (14)

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Related works:
Working Paper: The environmental impact of civil conflict: The deforestation effect of paramilitary expansion in Colombia (2014)
Working Paper: The Environmental Impact of Civil Conflict: The Deforestation Effect of Paramilitary Expansion In Colombia (2014)
Working Paper: The environmental impact of civil conflict The deforestation effect of paramilitary expansion in Colombia (2013)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:ulaedd:209328

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.209328

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