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Beliefs About Public Debt and the Demand for Government Spending

Christopher Roth, Sonja Settele () and Johannes Wohlfahrt ()
Additional contact information
Sonja Settele: Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI) and Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Oster Farimagsgade 5, Building 35, 1353 Copenhagen K, Denmark
Johannes Wohlfahrt: Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI) and Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Oster Farimagsgade 5, Building 35, 1353 Copenhagen K, Denmark; Danish Finance Insitute (DFI), Solbjerg Plads 3, A4.03, 2000 Frederiksberg, Denmark

No 178, ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series from University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany

Abstract: We examine how beliefs about the debt-to-GDP ratio affect people’s attitudes towards gov-ernment spending and taxation. Using representative samples of the US population, we run a series of experiments in which we provide half of our respondents with information about the debt-to-GDP ratio in the US. Based on a total of more than 4,000 respondents, we find that most people underestimate the debt-to-GDP ratio and reduce their support for government spending once they learn about the actual amount of debt, but do not substan-tially alter their attitudes towards taxation. The treatment effects seem to operate through changes in expectations about fiscal sustainability and persist in a four-week follow-up.

Keywords: Government Debt; Political Attitudes; Beliefs; Expectations; Information (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E60 P16 Z13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 84 pages
Date: 2022-07
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (22)

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https://www.econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/ajkdps/ECONtribute_178_2022.pdf First version, 2022 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Beliefs about public debt and the demand for government spending (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Beliefs about Public Debt and the Demand for Government Spending (2020) Downloads
Working Paper: Beliefs About Public Debt and the Demand for Government Spending (2020) Downloads
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