Nonlinear behavior of the Chinese SSEC index with a unit root: Evidence from threshold unit root tests
Xi-Yuan Qian,
Fu-Tie Song and
Wei-Xing Zhou
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Xi-Yuan Qian: ECUST
Fu-Tie Song: ECUST
Papers from arXiv.org
Abstract:
We investigate the behavior of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) index for the period from 1990:12 to 2007:06 using an unconstrained two-regime threshold autoregressive (TAR) model with an unit root developed by Caner and Hansen. The method allows us to simultaneously consider non-stationarity and nonlinearity in financial time series. Our finding indicates that the Shanghai stock market exhibits nonlinear behavior with two regimes and has unit roots in both regimes. The important implications of the threshold effect in stock markets are also discussed.
Date: 2007-07
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Published in Physica A 387 (2-3), 503-510 (2008)
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Journal Article: Nonlinear behaviour of the Chinese SSEC index with a unit root: Evidence from threshold unit root tests (2008) 
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:0707.2284
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