Papers
From arXiv.org
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- 2026: Structural Limits of OHLCV-Based Intraday Signals in MNQ Futures: A Systematic Falsification Study
- Mathias Mesfin
- 2026: Uncertainty Quantification in Forecast Comparisons
- Marc-Oliver Pohle, Tanja Zahn and Sebastian Lerch
- 2026: Do Venture Capitalists Beat Random Allocation?
- Max Sina Knicker, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud and Michael Benzaquen
- 2026: The Real Interest Rate as a Control Variable in the Open Economy
- Carlos Esteban Posada and Liz Londo\~no-Sierra
- 2026: Fiscal Aggregation and the Limits of IS--LM--BP: Derivations, Aggregation Bias and Reproducible Adversarial Simulations
- Ricardo Alonzo Fernandez Salguero
- 2026: Did US Worker Retraining Reduce Participant Automation Exposure?
- Julian Jacobs and Jordan Canedy
- 2026: Scaling Limits of Bivariate Nearly-Unstable Hawkes Processes and Applications to Rough Volatility
- Sohaib El Karmi
- 2026: Doubly Robust Instrumented Difference-in-Differences
- Jonas Skjold Raaschou-Pedersen
- 2026: Going Public: Communication in Collective Decisions
- Zhicheng Du, Yingkai Li and Boli Xu
- 2026: Coordination as an Architectural Layer for LLM-Based Multi-Agent Systems
- Maksym Nechepurenko and Pavel Shuvalov
- 2026: Unsecured Lending via Delegated Underwriting
- Diego Estevez
- 2026: Human-Provenance Verification should be Treated as Labor Infrastructure in AI-Saturated Markets
- Erin McGurk and David Khachaturov
- 2026: Estimating peer effects in noisy, low-rank networks via network smoothing
- Alex Hayes and Keith Levin
- 2026: Single-Period Portfolio Selection via Information Projection
- Bo-Yu Yang and Michael Gastpar
- 2026: Market-implied time to transition to a low-carbon economy: a stochastic modelling and inference framework
- Lorenzo Mercuri, Andrea Perchiazzo, Edit Rroji and Ilaria Stefano
- 2026: PHBench: A Benchmark for Predicting Startup Series A Funding from Product Hunt Launch Signals
- Yagiz Ihlamur, Ben Griffin and Rick Chen
- 2026: Uncountably many conditionally inaccessible decisions exist in every finite probability space
- Zal\'an Gyenis, Mikl\'os R\'edei and Leszek Wro\'nski
- 2026: Equilibrium Stability and Uniqueness with a Large Number of Commodities and Patient Consumers
- Xinyang Wang
- 2026: Truthful Communication and Exclusive Information Clubs
- Paolo Pin
- 2026: Misspecified beliefs and the evolution of peer pressure
- Paolo Pin and Roberto Rozzi
- 2026: The Design and Composition of Structural Causal Decision Processes
- Sebastian Benthall and Alan Lujan
- 2026: The Rise of Negative Earnings and Demand Shifting Investment
- Jacob Toner Gosselin and Dalton Rongxuan Zhang
- 2026: Pareto frontier of portfolio investment under volatility uncertainty and short-sale constraints market
- Jing He and Shuzhen Yang
- 2026: What Jobs Can AI Learn? Measuring Exposure by Reinforcement Learning
- Philip Moreira Tomei and Bouke Klein Teeselink
- 2026: Deepening the Secondary Market: Integrating Trade Credit into Market Clearing with the Cycles Protocol
- Toma\v{z} Fleischman and Ethan Buchman
- 2026: Prior-Free Sample Size Design for Test-and-Roll Experiments
- Kentaro Kawato and Shosei Sakaguchi
- 2026: Compound Attrition Games: A Unified Model for Inter- and Intra-Coalition Rivalry
- Madjid Eshaghi Gordji and Mohamad Ali Berahman
- 2026: Large-Scale Asset Selection via Metric Dependence with Enriched High Frequency Information
- Yangzhou Chen, Shuaida He and Xin Chen
- 2026: Analysis of interactive fixed effects dynamic linear panel regression with measurement error
- Nayoung Lee, Hyungsik Roger Moon and Martin Weidner
- 2026: Per-Market Information Leakage and Order-Flow Skill: Two Methodological Lenses on Informed Trading in Decentralized Prediction Markets
- Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2026: Empirical Evaluation of Deadline-Resolved Information Leakage on Documented Polymarket Insider Cases
- Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2026: Statistics of a multi-factor function from its Fourier transform
- Matthew A. Herman and Stephen Doro
- 2026: Fast Monte-Carlo
- Irene Aldridge
- 2026: Sharp regret-Hellinger bounds for Gaussian empirical Bayes via polynomial approximation
- Jiafeng Chen and Yihong Wu
- 2026: Analytic approximation for Bachelier option prices and applications
- Elisa Al\`os and \`Oscar Bur\'es
- 2026: Estimation and Inference for the $\tau$-Quantile of Individual Heterogeneous Coefficient
- Antonio F. Galvao, Ulrich Hounyo and Jiahao Lin
- 2026: Is Complexity the Problem? Testing Random Choice with Heterogeneity
- Shuhua Si
- 2026: Integrating equity and productivity in health evaluation
- Kristian S. Hansen, Juan D. Moreno-Ternero and Lars P. {\O}sterdal
- 2026: Strategy-proof and Efficient Job Matching with Participation Constraints
- Sushil Bikhchandani and Debasis Mishra
- 2026: Exact Likelihood Inference and Robust Filtering for Gauss-Cauchy Convolution Models
- Peter Reinhard Hansen and Chen Tong
- 2026: Estimation of BLP models with high-dimensional controls
- Hua Jin
- 2026: Hall-Like Transversal Stress and Sandpile Criticality on Real Production Networks
- Diego Vallarino
- 2026: Partition function form games with probabilistic beliefs
- Paraskevas V. Lekeas and Giorgos Stamatopoulos
- 2026: SBCA: Cross-Modal BERT-driven Actor-Critic for Multi-Asset Portfolio Optimization
- Jinfeng Pan and Jiahao Chen
- 2026: Martingale Cohomology, Holonomy, and Homological Arbitrage
- Takanori Adachi
- 2026: The Partial Testimony of Logs: Evaluation of Language Model Generation under Confounded Model Choice
- Jikai Jin and Vasilis Syrgkanis
- 2026: Visibility graphs can make money in financial markets
- Rafa{\l} Rak
- 2026: Remote work expands pathways to upward career mobility
- Yunhan Zheng and Jinhua Zhao
- 2026: Decision-Induced Ranking Explains Prediction Inflation and Excessive Turnover in SPO-Based Portfolio Optimization
- Yi Wang and Takashi Hasuike
- 2026: Networked Information Aggregation for Binary Classification
- MohammadHossein Bateni, Zahra Hadizadeh, MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi, Mahdi JafariRaviz and Shayan Taherijam
- 2026: Principal-agent problems with adverse selection: A stochastic target problem formulation
- Guillermo Alonso Alvarez, Ibrahim Ekren and Liwei Huang
- 2026: Penalized Likelihood for Dyadic Network Formation Models with Degree Heterogeneity
- Zizhong Yan, Jingrong Li and Yi Zhang
- 2026: Bootstrap Inference under General Two-way Clustering with Serially and Spatially Dependent Common Effects
- Ulrich Hounyo and Jiahao Lin
- 2026: Strategy Rescaling and the Stability of Kantian Optimization
- Igor Sloev and Gerasimos Lianos
- 2026: Optimal Merton's Problem under Multivariate Affine Volterra Models with Jumps
- Sigui Brice Dro and Emmanuel Gnabeyeu
- 2026: Linear Regression for Panel With Unknown Number of Factors as Interactive Fixed Effects
- Hyungsik Roger Moon and Martin Weidner
- 2026: Dynamic Linear Panel Regression Models with Interactive Fixed Effects
- Hyungsik Roger Moon and Martin Weidner
- 2026: Estimation of random coefficients logit demand models with interactive fixed effects
- Hyungsik Roger Moon, Matthew Shum and Martin Weidner
- 2026: ForesightFlow: An Information Leakage Score Framework for Prediction Markets
- Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2026: Information Leakage at Population Scale: An Evaluation of the Polymarket Insider-Relevant Subpopulation, 2020-2026
- Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2026: Foresight Arena: An On-Chain Benchmark for Evaluating AI Forecasting Agents
- Maksym Nechepurenko and Pavel Shuvalov
- 2026: An Adaptive Variable Neighborhood Search for a Family of Set Covering Routing Problems with an Application in Disaster Relief Operations
- Andreas Hagn, Jan Krause, Moritz Stargalla and Lorenza Moreno
- 2026: The Financialization of Proof-of-Stake: Asymptotic Centralization under Exogenous Risk Premiums
- Mikhail Perepelitsa
- 2026: ValueBlindBench: Agreement-Gated Stress Testing of LLM-Judged Investment Rationales Before Returns Are Observable
- Sidi Chang, Peiying Zhu and Yuxiao Chen
- 2026: Property, Interest, and Money: Is Heinsohn and Steiger's Property Premium a Determinant of Interest?
- Eric Hillebrand
- 2026: An Explicit Solution to Black-Scholes Implied Volatility
- Wolfgang Schadner
- 2026: Beyond Sequential Prediction: Learning Financial Market Dynamics in Volatile and Non-Stationary Environments through Sentiment-Conditioned Generative Modelling
- Alexis Lazanas and Spyridon Karpouzis
- 2026: Causal Persuasion
- Anastasia Burkovskaya and Egor Starkov
- 2026: Tweedie Calculus
- Santiago Torres
- 2026: Global Persistence, Local Residual Structure: Forecasting Heterogeneous Investment Panels
- Oleg Roshka
- 2026: Market Composition and the Consumer Surplus-Profit Frontier in Monopoly Screening
- Panagiotis Kyriazis
- 2026: Better Measurement or Larger Samples? Data Collection for Policy Learning with Unobserved Heterogeneity
- Giacomo Opocher
- 2026: Debiasing LLMs by Fine-tuning
- Zhenyu Gao, Wenxi Jiang and Yutong Yan
- 2026: Sovereign risk mitigation mechanism in emerging markets
- Ekaterina Bakhmeteva and Alexey Ponomarenko
- 2026: Market Power and Distributed Solar Integration in Microgrids under Limited Regulation
- Elsa Bou Gebrael, Majd Olleik and Sebastian Zwickl-Bernhard
- 2026: Delegated Information Provision
- Francesco Bilotta, Christoph Carnehl and Justus Preusser
- 2026: Almost sure null bankruptcy of testing-by-betting strategies
- Hongjian Wang, Shubhada Agrawal and Aaditya Ramdas
- 2026: Is there "Secret Sauce'' in Large Language Model Development?
- Matthias Mertens, Natalia Fischl-Lanzoni and Neil Thompson
- 2026: Nota de Pol\'itica P\'ublica: Quanto de produtividade precisamos para reduzir a jornada de trabalho?
- Victor Rangel
- 2026: Hot Days, Unsafe Schools? The Impact of Heat on School Shootings
- Seunghyun Lee and Goeun Lee
- 2026: Multidimensional Sequential Screening
- Eric Gao
- 2026: (Debiased) Inference for Fixed Effects Estimators with Three-Dimensional Panel and Network Data
- Daniel Czarnowske and Amrei Stammann
- 2026: First-passage horizons in horizontal visibility graphs: a rank-invariant estimator of path roughness for rough volatility models
- Micha{\l} Sikorski
- 2026: Consumer Choice Over Shopping Baskets
- Afonso Rodrigues
- 2026: Semi-Supervised Treatment Effect Estimation with Unlabeled Covariates for Prediction-Powered Causal Inference
- Masahiro Kato
- 2026: Characterizing the ELS Values with Fixed-Population Invariance Axioms
- Yukihiko Funaki, Yukio Koriyama, Satoshi Nakada and Yuki Tamura
- 2026: Making Interpretable Discoveries from Unstructured Data: A High-Dimensional Multiple Hypothesis Testing Approach
- Jacob Carlson
- 2026: Trade Execution Flow as the Underlying Source of Market Dynamics
- Mikhail Gennadievich Belov, Victor Victorovich Dubov, Vadim Konstantinovich Ivanov, Alexander Yurievich Maslov, Olga Vladimirovna Proshina and Vladislav Gennadievich Malyshkin
- 2026: ATLAS: Adaptive Trading with LLM AgentS Through Dynamic Prompt Optimization and Multi-Agent Coordination
- Charidimos Papadakis, Angeliki Dimitriou, Giorgos Filandrianos, Maria Lymperaiou, Konstantinos Thomas and Giorgos Stamou
- 2026: Randomized Kolmogorov-Smirnov Analysis of Volatility Roughness
- Sergio Bianchi and Daniele Angelini
- 2026: Identifying Risk Variables From Raw ESG Data Using Its Hierarchical Structure
- Zhi Chen, Zachary Feinstein and Ionut Florescu
- 2026: Closed-Form of Two-Agent New Keynesian Model with Price and Wage Rigidities
- Kenji Miyazaki
- 2026: Two-Sided Market Power in Firm-to-Firm Trade
- Alviarez Vanessa, Michele Fioretti, Ken Kikkawa and Morlacco Monica
- 2026: Plausible GMM: A Quasi-Bayesian Approach
- Victor Chernozhukov, Christian B. Hansen, Lingwei Kong and Weining Wang
- 2026: Becoming Immutable: How Ethereum is Made
- Andrea Canidio and Vabuk Pahari
- 2026: Estimating the housing production function with unobserved land heterogeneity
- Yusuke Adachi
- 2026: AI Realtor: Towards Grounded Persuasive Language Generation for Automated Copywriting
- Jibang Wu, Chenghao Yang, Yi Wu, Simon Mahns, Chaoqi Wang, Hao Zhu, Fei Fang and Haifeng Xu
- 2026: An Empirical Risk Minimization Approach for Offline Inverse RL and Dynamic Discrete Choice Model
- Enoch H. Kang, Hema Yoganarasimhan and Lalit Jain
- 2026: Markets with Heterogeneous Agents: Dynamics and Survival of Bayesian vs. No-Regret Learners
- David Easley, Yoav Kolumbus and Eva Tardos
- 2026: Influence Function: Local Robustness and Efficiency
- Xiye Yang and Ruonan Xu
- 2026: A Ranking Representation of Optimal Sequential Search
- Tinghan Zhang
- 2026: Coarse Q-learning: Indifference, Indeterminacy, and Instability
- Philippe Jehiel and Aviman Satpathy
- 2026: Leveraging Ensemble-Based Semi-Supervised Learning for Illicit Account Detection in Ethereum DeFi Transactions
- Shabnam Fazliani, Mohammad Mowlavi Sorond and Arsalan Masoudifard
- 2026: Troll Farms
- Philipp Denter and Boris Ginzburg
- 2026: Estimating Nonseparable Selection Models: A Functional Contraction Approach
- Fan Wu and Yi Xin
- 2026: Bagging the Network
- Ming Li, Zhentao Shi and Yapeng Zheng
- 2026: Incentivizing Information Acquisition
- Fan Wu
- 2026: Robust Robustness
- Ian Ball and Deniz Kattwinkel
- 2026: Testing by Betting while Borrowing and Bargaining
- Hongjian Wang, Muriel F. P\'erez-Ortiz, Wouter M. Koolen and Aaditya Ramdas
- 2026: Trust Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets: Centralized vs. Decentralized Exchanges
- Xintong Wu, Wanlin Deng, Yutong Quan, Lin William Cong and Luyao Zhang
- 2026: Exact simulation scheme for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck driven stochastic volatility model with the Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansions
- Jaehyuk Choi
- 2026: Decentralized Re-equilibration and Comparative Statics in Matching Markets with Contracts
- Yi-You Yang
- 2026: Optimal Trading in Automated Market Makers with Deep Learning
- Sebastian Jaimungal, Yuri F. Saporito, Max O. Souza and Yuri Thamsten
- 2026: Quantum Monte Carlo algorithm for option pricing and its complexity analysis
- Jianjun Chen, Yongming Li and Ariel Neufeld
- 2026: Withholding Verifiable Information
- Denis Shishkin, Maria Titova and Kun Zhang
- 2026: Treatment Effects with Targeting Instruments
- Sokbae (Simon) Lee and Bernard Salani\'e
- 2026: Arbitrage Analysis in Polymarket NBA Markets
- Guang Cheng, Jiaxin Yang and Haoxuan Zou
- 2026: Replication-Consistent Liquidity Forecasting for Derivatives -- Forward Funding Sensitivities and a Liquidity Valuation Adjustment for Settlement Lags
- Christian P. Fries
- 2026: Dynamics of Periodic Bubbles and Crashes: Modeling Market Overheating and Panic Selling via Cubic Momentum
- Naohiro Yoshida
- 2026: AI Agents for Sustainable SMEs: A Green ESG Assessment Framework
- Viet Trinh, Tan Nguyen, Minh-Huyen Phan and Quan Luu
- 2026: RSDM: The Consensus Honest Money in the AI Era
- Boliang Lin and Ruixi Lin
- 2026: Modeling Stock Returns and Volatility Using Bivariate Gamma Generalized Laplace Law
- Tomasz J. Kozubowski, Andrey Sarantsev and James A. Spiker
- 2026: Urban Science Beyond Samples: Up-to-Date Street Network Models and Indicators for Every Urban Area in the World
- Geoff Boeing
- 2026: JFR-rg Part II: Dynamic Extensions, Time Constraints, and Investment Design in High-Debt, Low-Growth Economies
- Hirofumi Wakimoto
- 2026: Do Short Exposure and Systematic Risk Exposure Drive Asymmetries in the Disposition Effect?
- Lorenzo Mazzucchelli, Marco Zanotti, Luca Vincenzo Ballestra and Andrea Guizzardi
- 2026: Computing Equilibrium beyond Unilateral Deviation
- Mingyang Liu, Gabriele Farina and Asuman Ozdaglar
- 2026: Measuring the risk or reducing it, that is the question: is risk measurement necessary for risk reduction?
- Pierpaolo Uberti
- 2026: Optimal Consumption and Investment with Energy-Efficiency Adoption
- Anthony Britto, Carlos Oliveira and Max Kleinebrahm
- 2026: Distributionally Robust Insurance under Bregman-Wasserstein Divergence
- Wenjun Jiang, Qingqing Zhang and Yiying Zhang
- 2026: A Note on the Generalized Cape Cod Reserving Method
- Ronald Richman and Mario V. W\"uthrich
- 2026: Data-Driven Stochastic Optimal Control for Intraday Electricity Trading by Renewable Producers
- Chiheb Ben Hammouda, Michael Samet and Ra\'ul Tempone
- 2026: The Satoshi Overhang: Why the Bear Case is Bounded
- Karl T. Ulrich
- 2026: Sampler-Robust Optimization under Generative Models
- Ziwei Zhang and Jonathan Yu-Meng Li
- 2026: A Levered ETF Anomaly Explained
- Stephen W. Bianchi and Lisa R. Goldberg
- 2026: Extreme Equilibria: The Benefits of Correlation
- Kirill Rudov, Fedor Sandomirskiy and Leeat Yariv
- 2026: Subsampling Under Two-way Clustering with Serial Correlation
- Haonan Miao
- 2026: Fast-Vollib: A Fast Implied Volatility Library for Pythonwith PyTorch, JAX, and CUDA Fused-Kernel Backends
- Raeid Saqur
- 2026: Treatment-effect heterogeneity and interactive fixed effects: Can we control for too much?
- Murilo Cardoso, Bruno Ferman and Marcelo Fernandes
- 2026: Learning to Spend: Model Predictive Control for Budgeting under Non-Stationary Returns
- Nilavra Pathak, Smriti Shyamal, Prasant Mhasker and Christopher Swartz
- 2026: The Signal Credibility Index for Prediction Markets: A Microstructure-Grounded Diagnostic with Weighted and Time-Varying Extensions
- Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2026: Doubly robust local projections difference-in-differences
- Daniel de Abreu Pereira Uhr and Guilherme Valle Moura
- 2026: Many-to-many stable matching in large economies
- Michael Greinecker and Karolina Vocke
- 2026: Bootstrap Inference in Nonlinear Panel Data Models with Interactive Fixed Effects
- Haoyuan Xu, Wei Miao, Geert Dhaene and Jad Beyhum
- 2026: Do News and Social Media Tell the Same Story? Constructing and Comparing Sentiment Spillover Networks
- Fan Wu, Anqi Liu, Maggie Chen and Yuhua Li
- 2026: Measuring Choice Difficulty
- Chris Chambers, Yusufcan Masatolioglu, Paulo Natenzon and Collin Raymond
- 2026: From Hypotheses to Factors: Constrained LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency Markets
- Yikuan Huang, Zheqi Fan, Kaiqi Hu and Yifan Ye
- 2026: Electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones in the post-crisis era
- My Thi Diem Phan, Trung Tuyen Truong, Hoai Phuong Ha and Dat Thanh Nguyen
- 2026: A simple characterization of single-peaked domains
- Mihir Bhattacharya and Anup Pramanik
- 2026: What Drives Contagion? Identifying and Attributing Cross-Border Transmission Mechanisms
- Avishek Bhandari, Ipsita Parida and Hitesh Kumar Sahu
- 2026: Marshall meets Bartik: Revisiting the mysteries of the trade
- Yasusada Murata and Ryo Nakajima
- 2026: Dynamic Cheap Talk without Feedback
- Atulya Jain
- 2026: The Reservation Inflation of Hard Money: Gold-Standard Deflation and the Real Expansion of Nominal Claims, 1873-1896
- Ran Huang
- 2026: When Agents Shop for You: Role Coherence in AI-Mediated Markets
- Soogand Alavi and Salar Nozari
- 2026: Sequential Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models with Unobserved Heterogeneity
- Ertian Chen, Hiroyuki Kasahara and Katsumi Shimotsu
- 2026: Budget-Constrained Causal Bandits: Bridging Uplift Modeling and Sequential Decision-Making
- Abhirami Pillai
- 2026: Pricing with Passion: The Local Occupied Volatility (LOV) Model
- Valentin Tissot-Daguette
- 2026: Stochastic Frontier meets Breakdown Frontier
- Santiago Acerenza and Francisco Rosas
- 2026: A Volume-Price-Adjusted MACD Trading Strategy with Sensitivity Calibration for U.S. Equity Indices
- Luyun Lin, Lixing Lin, Zhen Zhang, Moxuan Zheng and Yiqing Wang
- 2026: Auditing Marketing Budget Allocation with Hindsight Regret
- Nilavra Pathak, Olivier Jeunen and Eric Lambert
- 2026: Fast Core Identification
- Irene Aldridge
- 2026: General-Purpose Technology and Speculative Bubble Detection
- Haiqiang Chen, Li Chen, Difang Huang, Yuexin Li and Zhengjun Zhang
- 2026: Sequential Equilibria in a Class of Infinite Extensive Form Games
- Michael Greinecker, Martin Meier and Konrad Podczeck
- 2026: The Short- and Long-Term Impacts of Expanding Public Education for Disabled Students
- Laura Caron
- 2026: The Core in a Distributional Economy
- Michael Greinecker and Konrad Podczeck
- 2026: Sources of Inequality at Birth: The Interplay Between Genes and Parental Socioeconomic Status
- Pietro Biroli, Nicolau Martin-Bassols, Andries T. Marees, Hans van Kippersluis, Cornelius A. Rietveld, Pia Arce, Kevin Thom, Stephanie von Hinke, Jeremy Vollen and Titus Galama
- 2026: Identification and Estimation of Consumers' Preferences from Repeated Observations under Nonlinear Pricing
- Samuele Centorrino, Fr\'ed\'erique F\`eve and Jean-Pierre Florens
- 2026: A Motif-Based Framework for Decomposing Risk Spillovers
- Ying-Hui Shao, Yan-Hong Yang and Yun Zhang
- 2026: Corporate Bond Yield Curve Modeling: A Rating-Based Regime-Switching Generalized CIR Approach
- Maochun Xu, Yunqi Liang and Yi Hong
- 2026: Yau's Affine-Normal Descent for Large-Scale Unrestricted Higher-Moment Portfolio Optimization
- Ya-Juan Wang, Yi-Shuai Niu, Artan Sheshmani and Shing-Tung Yau
- 2026: Implied Volatility Expansions for VIX Options in Forward Variance Models
- Ying Liao, Ankush Agarwal and Florian Bourgey
- 2026: Cylindrical Projections of Occupied Diffusions
- Valentin Tissot-Daguette and Xin Zhang
- 2026: Inference for Linear Systems with Unknown Coefficients
- Yuehao Bai, Kirill Ponomarev, Andres Santos, Azeem M. Shaikh, Max Tabord-Meehan and Alexander Torgovitsky
- 2026: Coordination in complex environments
- Pietro Dall'Ara
- 2026: Efficient Multivariate Kelly Optimization Reveals Sigmoidal Scaling Laws
- Ruslan Tepelyan and Daniel Lam
- 2026: Energy-Arena: A Dynamic Benchmark for Operational Energy Forecasting
- Max Kleinebrahm, Jonathan Berrisch, Philipp Eiser, Wolf Fichtner, Veit Hagenmeyer, Matthias Hertel, Nils Koster, Sebastian Lerch, Ralf Mikut, Jan Priesmann, Melanie Schienle, Benjamin Schaefer, Jann Weinand and Florian Ziel
- 2026: Benefits and Costs of Adaptive Sampling
- Yu-Shiou Willy Lin, Dae Woong Ham and Iavor Bojinov
- 2026: Comonotonic improvement under feasibility constraints
- Christopher Blier-Wong and Jean-Gabriel Lauzier
- 2026: The Anatomy of a Decentralized Prediction Market: Microstructure Evidence from the Polymarket Order Book
- Philipp D. Dubach
- 2026: Optimal incentive scheme for ESG disclosure
- Imen Ben Tahar, Dylan Possama\"i and Xiaolu Tan
- 2026: Effects of Genetic Propensity for Education on Labor Market and Health Trajectories across the Working Life
- Stefano Lombardi, Nurfatima Jandarova, Kristina Zguro, Jarkko Harju, Aldo Rustichini and Andrea Ganna
- 2026: Linear estimations of dynamic fixed effects logit models only with time effects
- Yoshitsugu Kitazawa
- 2026: Price as Focal Point: Prediction Markets,Conditional Reflexivity, and the Politics of Common Knowledge
- Maksym Nechepurenko
- 2026: Difference-in-differences with a mediator
- Yuhao Deng, Haoyu Wei and Zhongzhe Ouyang
- 2026: A phase transition in monetary function explains expansion without inflation
- Ran Huang
- 2026: A Geometric Witness Framework for Signed Multivariate Tail-Dependence Compatibility: Asymptotic Structure and Finite-Threshold Synthesis
- Janusz Milek
- 2026: Financial Market as a Self-Organized Ecosystem: Simulation via Learning with Heterogeneous Preferences
- Ryuji Hashimoto, Ryosuke Takata, Masahiro Suzuki, Yuki Tanaka and Kiyoshi Izumi
- 2026: Decomposing Common Agency
- Zhiming Feng
- 2026: Extended State-dependent Hawkes Process for Limit Order Books: Mathematical Foundation and the Reproduction of Volatility Signature Plots
- Akitoshi Kimura
- 2026: MarketBench: Evaluating AI Agents as Market Participants
- Andrey Fradkin and Rohit Krishnan
- 2026: Beyond De Prado and Cotton: Hierarchical and Iterative Methods for General Mean-Variance Portfolios
- Bernd Johannes Wuebben
- 2026: Bootstrapping with AI/ML-generated labels
- Timothy Christensen, Silvia Goncalves and Benoit Perron
- 2026: Buying the Right to Monitor:Editorial Design in AI-Assisted Peer Review
- Zaruhi Hakobyan
- 2026: Non-unique time and market incompleteness
- Chris Angstmann and Tim Gebbie
- 2026: Rigidity and default in production networks
- Giacomo Como, Fabio Fagnani, Elisa Luciano, Alessandro Milazzo and Marco Scarsini
- 2026: Estimation of MIDAS Regressions with Errors-in-the-Variables
- Sukhbir Kaur, Sukhbir Singh, Kanchan Jain and Pooja Soni
- 2026: Multiplicative Contractions, Additive Recoveries: Functional-Form Restrictions on Risk Exposure Dynamics
- Liang Chen
- 2026: Misspecification-Averse Estimation
- Isaiah Andrews, Ricky Li and Yucheng Shang
- 2026: Beyond Picking Winners: Correlation-Driven Tail Risk in Venture Capital Portfolio Construction
- Yunqi Liang, Hasan Ugur Koyluoglu, Fuat Alican and Yigit Ihlamur
- 2026: The Security Cost of Intelligence: AI Capability, Cyber Risk, and Deployment Paradox
- Sukwoong Choi
- 2026: Realized Regularized Regressions
- Aleksey Kolokolov and Shifan Yu
- 2026: Equations of Motion for an Economy: Capital Deepening, Technology, and Firm Survival
- Robert T. Nachtrieb
- 2026: Stacked Triple Differences
- Meng Hsuan Hsieh
- 2026: Statistical Mechanics of Household Income and Wealth: Derivation from Firm Dynamics via Maximum Entropy and Mixture Aggregation
- Robert T. Nachtrieb
- 2026: Machine Learning Forecasts of Asymmetric Betas Using Firm-Specific Information
- Thomas Conlon, John Cotter and Iason Kynigakis
- 2026: Price Cap vs. Per-Unit Subsidies: Selection, Pricing, and Cross Subsidization
- Ram Sewak Dubey, Maysam Rabbani and Rodrigo Pinto
- 2026: Representation Homogeneity and Systemic Instability in AI-Dominated Financial Markets: A Structural Approach
- Yimeng Qiu and Qiwei Han
- 2026: Preplay Losing Contracts: Inducing Strong Nash Equilibrium in the $n$-player Prisoner's Dilemma
- Ian Fligler
- 2026: Causal Identification under Interference: The Role of Treatment Assignment Independence
- Julius Owusu and Monika Avila M\'arquez
- 2026: Malliavin calculus for signatures with applications to finance
- Eduardo Abi Jaber, Cl\'ement Rey and Dimitri Sotnikov
- 2026: Quantum analog-encoding for correlated Gaussian vectors and their exponentiation with application to rough volatility
- Tassa Thaksakronwong and Koichi Miyamoto
- 2026: Inference in Tightly Identified and Large-Scale Sign-Restricted SVARs
- Markku Lanne, Jani Luoto and Adam Rybarczyk
- 2026: Algorithmic Feature Highlighting for Human-AI Decision-Making
- Yifan Guo and Jann Spiess
- 2026: On Benchmark Hacking in ML Contests: Modeling, Insights and Design
- Xiaoyun Qiu, Yang Yu and Haifeng Xu
- 2026: Optimal Investment and Entropy-Regularized Learning Under Stochastic Volatility Models with Portfolio Constraints
- Thai Nguyen and Pertiny Nkuize
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- Andrey Urusov, Rostislav Berezovskiy, Anatoly Krestenko and Andrei Kornilov
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