Common Idiosyncratic Quantile Risk

Jozef Baruník and Matej Nevrla

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: We identify a new type of risk that is characterised by commonalities in the quantiles of the cross-sectional distribution of asset returns. Our newly proposed quantile risk factors are associated with a quantile-specific risk premia and provide new insights into how upside and downside risks are priced by investors. In contrast to the previous literature, we recover the common structure in cross-sectional quantiles without making confounding assumptions or aggregating potentially non-linear information. We discuss how the new quantile-based risk factors differ from popular volatility and downside risk factors, and we identify heterogeneous implications of quantile-dependent risks for asset prices. Quantile factors also have predictive power for aggregate market returns. We explore potential mechanisms that give rise to these asset pricing facts.

Date: 2022-08, Revised 2024-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fmk and nep-rmg
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