Robust Aggregation of Preferences

Florian Mudekereza

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: This paper analyzes a society composed of individuals who have diverse sets of beliefs (or models) and diverse tastes (or utility functions). It characterizes the model selection process of a social planner who wishes to aggregate individuals' beliefs and tastes but is concerned that their beliefs are misspecified (or incorrect). A novel impossibility result emerges under several desiderata: a utilitarian social planner who prioritizes robustness to misspecification never aggregates individuals' beliefs but instead behaves as a dictator by adopting one individual's belief as the social belief. This tension between robustness and aggregation exists because aggregation yields policy-contingent beliefs, which are very sensitive to policy outcomes. The impossibility can be resolved, but it would require assuming individuals have heterogeneous tastes and some common beliefs. Applications in treatment choice and dynamic macroeconomics are explored.

Date: 2025-04, Revised 2026-02
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mic and nep-upt
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://arxiv.org/pdf/2504.07401 Latest version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:2504.07401

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Papers from arXiv.org
Bibliographic data for series maintained by arXiv administrators ().