Extrema, Barrier Options, and Semi-Analytic Leverage Corrections in Stochastic-Clock Volatility Models

Tristan Guillaume
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Tristan Guillaume: CYU

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Abstract: Barrier derivatives depend on extrema and first-passage events and are therefore highly sensitive to volatility dynamics -- especially to the instantaneous return-volatility correlation $\rho$, often called ``leverage''. This sensitivity makes accurate and fast pricing under realistic stochastic-volatility specifications difficult: two-dimensional PDE solvers are expensive inside calibration loops, while Monte Carlo methods converge slowly when barrier hits are rare and discretely monitored. In equity markets in particular, the pronounced implied-volatility skew motivates factoring in a negative return-volatility correlation. We study a class of continuous-path stochastic-clock volatility models in which the log-price is represented as a Brownian motion run on a random increasing clock. In the baseline independent-clock case (\rho=0), a broad family of barrier-relevant objects-maximum distributions, survival probabilities, and killed joint laws-reduces to one-dimensional quantities determined by the Laplace transform of the terminal clock. This yields transform-only pricing formulas for single- and double-barrier contracts that are fast and numerically stable once the clock transform is available, notably for affine and quadratic clocks. To incorporate leverage without forfeiting tractability, we develop a systematic small-\rho expansion around the \rho=0 backbone. The expansion produces a hierarchy of forced problems whose forcing terms are semi-analytic and computable from baseline barrier objects. We provide two implementable leverage-correction routes\,: forced PDEs and a Duhamel-type Monte Carlo representation, and we show how Pad{\'e} acceleration can extend practical accuracy to equity-like correlations. Calibration then proceeds by\,: (i) fitting clock parameters from vanillas using only one-dimensional transforms, (ii) precomputing the \rho=0 barrier backbone once, and (iii) iterating on \rho (and any remaining parameters) using the fast semi-analytic corrections-optionally Pad{\'e}-accelerated-inside a standard least-squares loop.

Date: 2026-04
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