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Refined Cluster Robust Inference

Bulat Gafarov and Takuya Ura

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Abstract: It has become standard for empirical studies to conduct inference robust to cluster dependence and heterogeneity. With a small number of clusters, the normal approximation for the $t$-statistics of regression coefficients may be poor. This paper tackles this problem using a critical value based on the conditional Cram\'er-Edgeworth expansion for the $t$-statistics. Our approach guarantees third-order refinement, regardless of whether a regressor is discrete or not, and, unlike the cluster pairs bootstrap, avoids resampling data. Simulations show that our proposal can make a difference in size control with as few as 10 clusters.

Date: 2026-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm
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