The Chinese Equity Bubble: Ready to Burst

K. Bastiaensen, P. Cauwels, D. Sornette, R. Woodard and Wei-Xing Zhou

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Abstract: Amid the current financial crisis, there has been one equity index beating all others: the Shanghai Composite. Our analysis of this main Chinese equity index shows clear signatures of a bubble build up and we go on to predict its most likely crash date: July 17-27, 2009 (20%/80% quantile confidence interval).

Date: 2009-07
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