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Ruin Probabilities for Risk Processes with Non-Stationary Arrivals and Subexponential Claims

Lingjiong Zhu

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Abstract: In this paper, we obtain the finite-horizon and infinite-horizon ruin probability asymptotics for risk processes with claims of subexponential tails for non-stationary arrival processes that satisfy a large deviation principle. As a result, the arrival process can be dependent, non-stationary and non-renewal. We give three examples of non-stationary and non-renewal point processes: Hawkes process, Cox process with shot noise intensity and self-correcting point process. We also show some aggregate claims results for these three examples.

Date: 2013-04, Revised 2014-10
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-rmg
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Published in Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 2013, Volume 53, Issue 3, 544-550

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