Optimal liquidation of an asset under drift uncertainty

Erik Ekstr\"om and Juozas Vaicenavicius

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: We study a problem of finding an optimal stopping strategy to liquidate an asset with unknown drift. Taking a Bayesian approach, we model the initial beliefs of an individual about the drift parameter by allowing an arbitrary probability distribution to characterise the uncertainty about the drift parameter. Filtering theory is used to describe the evolution of the posterior beliefs about the drift once the price process is being observed. An optimal stopping time is determined as the first passage time of the posterior mean below a monotone boundary, which can be characterised as the unique solution to a non-linear integral equation. We also study monotonicity properties with respect to the prior distribution and the asset volatility.

Date: 2015-09
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mic
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1509.00686 Latest version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:1509.00686

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Papers from arXiv.org
Bibliographic data for series maintained by arXiv administrators ().