Economics at your fingertips  

Tukey's transformational ladder for portfolio management

Philip Ernst, James Thompson and Yinsen Miao

Papers from

Abstract: Over the past half-century, the empirical finance community has produced vast literature on the advantages of the equally weighted S\&P 500 portfolio as well as the often overlooked disadvantages of the market capitalization weighted Standard and Poor's (S\&P 500) portfolio (see \cite{Bloom}, \cite{Uppal}, \cite{Jacobs}, \cite{Treynor}). However, portfolio allocation based on Tukey's transformational ladde have, rather surprisingly, remained absent from the literature. In this work, we consider the S\&P 500 portfolio over the 1958-2015 time horizon weighted by Tukey's transformational ladder (\cite{Tukey2}): $1/x^2,\,\, 1/x,\,\, 1/\sqrt{x},\,\, \text{log}(x),\,\, \sqrt{x},\,\, x,\,\, \text{and} \,\, x^2$, where $x$ is defined as the market capitalization weighted S\&P 500 portfolio. Accounting for dividends and transaction fees, we find that the 1/$x^2$ weighting strategy produces cumulative returns that significantly dominates all other portfolios, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 18\% over the 1958-2015 horizon. Our story is furthered by a startling phenomenon: both the cumulative and annual returns of the $1/x^2$ weighting strategy are superior to those of the $1/x$ weighting strategy, which are in turn superior to those of the 1/$\sqrt{x}$ weighted portfolio, and so forth, ending with the $x^2$ transformation, whose cumulative returns are the lowest of the seven transformations of Tukey's transformational ladder. The order of cumulative returns precisely follows that of Tukey's transformational ladder. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to discover this phenomenon.

New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-rmg
Date: 2016-03, Revised 2017-08
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed

Published in Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (2017) 31(3): 317-355

Downloads: (external link) Latest version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Papers from
Series data maintained by arXiv administrators ().

Page updated 2017-09-29
Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1603.06050