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A Contextual Model Of The Secessionist Rebellion in Eastern Ukraine

Olga Nicoara and David White

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: This paper explores the possible contextual factors that drove some individuals to lead, and others to join the pro-secessionist rebellion in the 2013-2014 conflict in Eastern Ukraine. We expand on the existing rational choice literature on revolutionary participation and rebellious movements by building a contextual choice model accounting for both cost-benefit and behavioral considerations taken by Pro-Russian militants and rebels in the region of Donbass. Our model generates predictions about the characteristics of the socio-political-cultural context that are most likely to ignite and sustain hierarchical rebel movements similar to those in Ukraine.

Date: 2016-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis and nep-tra
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Published in 2015 Association of Private Enterprise Education International Conference

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