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Effects of Sea Level Rise on Economy of the United States

Monika Novackova and Richard Tol

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: We report the first ex post study of the economic impact of sea level rise. We apply two econometric approaches to estimate the past effects of sea level rise on the economy of the USA, viz. Barro type growth regressions adjusted for spatial patterns and a matching estimator. Unit of analysis is 3063 counties of the USA. We fit growth regressions for 13 time periods and we estimated numerous varieties and robustness tests for both growth regressions and matching estimator. Although there is some evidence that sea level rise has a positive effect on economic growth, in most specifications the estimated effects are insignificant. We therefore conclude that there is no stable, significant effect of sea level rise on economic growth. This finding contradicts previous ex ante studies.

Date: 2016-07
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env and nep-geo
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http://arxiv.org/pdf/1607.06247 Latest version (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Effects of sea level rise on economy of the United States (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: Effects of Sea Level Rise on Economy of the United States (2016) Downloads
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