Time-varying return predictability in the Chinese stock market
Huai-Long Shi,
Zhi-Qiang Jiang and
Wei-Xing Zhou
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Huai-Long Shi: ECUST
Zhi-Qiang Jiang: ECUST
Papers from arXiv.org
Abstract:
China's stock market is the largest emerging market all over the world. It is widely accepted that the Chinese stock market is far from efficiency and it possesses possible linear and nonlinear dependence. We study the predictability of returns in the Chinese stock market by employing the wild bootstrap automatic variance ratio test and the generalized spectral test. We find that the return predictability vary over time and significant return predictability is observed around market turmoils. Our findings are consistent with the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis and have practical implications for market participants.
Date: 2016-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-tra
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Published in Reports in Advances of Physical Sciences 1 (1), 1740002 (2017)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:1611.04090
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