EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Accurate Evaluation of Asset Pricing Under Uncertainty and Ambiguity of Information

Farouq Abdulaziz Masoudy

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: Since exchange economy considerably varies in the market assets, asset prices have become an attractive research area for investigating and modeling ambiguous and uncertain information in today markets. This paper proposes a new generative uncertainty mechanism based on the Bayesian Inference and Correntropy (BIC) technique for accurately evaluating asset pricing in markets. This technique examines the potential processes of risk, ambiguity, and variations of market information in a controllable manner. We apply the new BIC technique to a consumption asset-pricing model in which the consumption variations are modeled using the Bayesian network model with observing the dynamics of asset pricing phenomena in the data. These dynamics include the procyclical deviations of price, the countercyclical deviations of equity premia and equity volatility, the leverage impact and the mean reversion of excess returns. The key findings reveal that the precise modeling of asset information can estimate price changes in the market effectively.

Date: 2018-01, Revised 2018-03
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1801.06966 Latest version (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:arx:papers:1801.06966

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Papers from arXiv.org
Bibliographic data for series maintained by arXiv administrators ().

 
Page updated 2018-03-28
Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1801.06966