Voting patterns in 2016: Exploration using multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) on pre-election polls

Rob Trangucci, Imad Ali, Andrew Gelman and Doug Rivers

Papers from arXiv.org

Abstract: We analyzed 2012 and 2016 YouGov pre-election polls in order to understand how different population groups voted in the 2012 and 2016 elections. We broke the data down by demographics and state. We display our findings with a series of graphs and maps. The R code associated with this project is available at https://github.com/rtrangucci/mrp_2016_election/.

Date: 2018-02, Revised 2018-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
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