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A Dynamic Model of Central Counterparty Risk

Tomasz R. Bielecki, Igor Cialenco and Shibi Feng

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Abstract: We introduce a dynamic model of the default waterfall of derivatives CCPs and propose a risk sensitive method for sizing the initial margin (IM), and the default fund (DF) and its allocation among clearing members. Using a Markovian structure model of joint credit migrations, our evaluation of DF takes into account the joint credit quality of clearing members as they evolve over time. Another important aspect of the proposed methodology is the use of the time consistent dynamic risk measures for computation of IM and DF. We carry out a comprehensive numerical study, where, in particular, we analyze the advantages of the proposed methodology and its comparison with the currently prevailing methods used in industry.

New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban and nep-rmg
Date: 2018-03
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